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“Break down the cubicles” October 31, 2013

Posted by Bob Cook in Alternative Workplace Strategies, Profession of Corporate Real Estate.
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I rarely repost stuff you can find elsewhere on the web, but this performance from the opening ceremony of Corenet Global’s Summit in Las Vegas last week is sure to become a classic in the corporate real estate community and deserves reposting … and reposting … and reposting.  Enjoy.

Are San Francisco tech companies disclosing real estate risks adequately? October 15, 2013

Posted by Bob Cook in Company Case Studies, Financial Planning & Analysis, Real Estate Markets, Silicon Valley.
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Twitter HQ - big enough?

Twitter HQ – big enough?

Tech companies in San Francisco ought to all know that one of the main growth constraints they face is the availability of office space to house workers.  Availability of the highly-sought-after so-called “creative space” is near zero.  Even if a company is willing to forego exposed timber, high ceilings, skylights and other cool features and settle for more conventional space, according to Colliers research, only 9.7% of the downtown San Francisco office space is vacant, and that percentage is declining fast.  The amount of space being sought by tenants currently in the market represents about half of the limited vacancies.  Undoubtedly, some companies are not going to be able to find the right space in the right location at the right price to meet their needs.

Boilerplate 10k disclosures

Yet, while San Francisco-based companies disclose in their 10K’s a seemingly endless list of risks, I don’t know of any who have cited availability of real estate as a risk to the growth of their business.  Almost all tack on a boilerplate nothing like the following at the end of Item #2 regarding Properties in their 10-K’s: “We believe that our facilities are adequate for our current needs.”  If any mention is made of future needs, it’s usually a statement like this one from a well known tech company headquartered in downtown San Francisco:  “If we require additional space, we believe that we will be able to obtain such space on acceptable, commercially reasonable terms”.

Really?   With downtown San Francisco vacancy possibly approaching 5%?

Maybe it’s time for disclosures about real estate to be taken more seriously.  After all, the value proposition to prospective shareholders of most tech companies is not based on their current level of profitability, but rather projections of much greater profitability in the future.  In our “new economy”, where office space to house knowledge workers needs to be considered a factor of production, the availability of this resource cannot be treated so cavalierly.

The issue of real estate as a constraint looms particularly large, one would think, for companies filing for IPO’s, but it’s unclear whether disclosures are taken much more seriously there.

Twitter’s IPO

Take the case of Twitter which has recently filed its IPO registration statement.  The statement reveals that Twitter currently has negative net income, so clearly the value proposition is all about growth.  The statement lists 28 pages of “Risk Factors” many focused on constraints to growth, but the only reference to real estate as a constraint is about data centers: “we cannot be assured that we will be able to expand our data center infrastructure to meet user demand in a timely manner, or on favorable economic terms”.  There’s no mention of real estate to house all the folks doing software coding, administering data systems, selling advertising, and generally managing the enterprise.

Now, Twitter, to its credit, may have its non-data-center real estate needs under control more than most companies.  In April of 2011 it made a bold, visionary move when it leased space in a giant building on Market Street in a prominent, easy-to-reach location, but one that is adjacent to a red light district.  After amendments, Twitter now has about 300,000 square feet under lease until November of 2021.  In moving to a less-established office location, Twitter was able to grab a lot of contiguous space at a price that, presumably, allowed it to bank space for the future.

Apparently, though, it wasn’t enough.  There are reports that Twitter is currently in negotiations for another 320,000 square feet.  What happens if its negotiations are not successful?  Will growth be limited?  I’m sure enquiring investors would like to know.  It would have been nice if the IPO registration statement had explicitly addressed the question of availability of real estate to grow.  As it is, we don’t know if the omission of listing real estate availability as a risk to growth is because Twitter actually has its needs covered for the foreseeable future or because it was simply following bad industry practice of not taking real estate availability seriously enough to disclose it as a risk if, indeed, unavailability might be a problem.

Is availability of real estate a material risk?

Some observers might say that availability of real estate is not material enough a risk to list in financial disclosures.  Any real estate executive, however, who has been ordered “don’t let real estate limit our growth” is keenly aware of how real this risk can be, particularly in San Francisco.  And while there are workarounds for San Francisco companies, like hiring people elsewhere or letting them work from home, companies are in San Francisco because that’s where they think the talent is or at least to where it can be recruited.  That’s where they think there’s a unique tech vibe that energizes their companies.  And that’s where they go to great lengths to make their workplaces cool so they can attract the best talent.  They wouldn’t be paying the premium to do business in San Francisco if having workplaces in the city were not so important. So … if they can’t find that space to create cool workplaces to house the workers they want to hire, isn’t that a material issue?   And shouldn’t the risk that they might not be able to get the space be disclosed to investors?

Lease Accounting Rolling Forward after Two-Years of Spinning Wheels September 12, 2013

Posted by Bob Cook in Financial Planning & Analysis, Lease Accounting.
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Rip Van WinkelIf you did a Rip Van Winkel and fell asleep a couple years ago listening to the whistle of the lease-accounting-change train as it rolled by … and you just awoke … you’ll be surprised to learn that lease accounting hasn’t yet changed.  You might find that hard to believe; I know I do.  The SEC called for an overhaul of lease accounting back in 2005, and while FASB was slow to react, by 2010 it seemed to be steaming fast towards a new standard.  Here we are now, though, in 2013, and FASB is still soliciting comments on lease accounting.  When all is said and done, it will have taken more than a decade for the inadequacies of current lease accounting to be corrected.

The proposed new standard is, though, still on-track; it never really derailed. Its wheels did spin a lot, though, climbing a mountain of protest over the implications for rent expense accounting and over the administrative burden the accounting creates.  The newest proposal from FASB provides relief on the former, but no relief on the latter.

Status of Proposal

On May 16th, FASB and IASB issued a revised Exposure Draft on Leases.  This was a follow-up to public comment and discussions resulting from the Exposure Draft on Leases issued in August of 2010.  That Exposure Draft, by the way, resulted from public comment on FASB’s Discussion Paper on Leases issued back in March of 2009, which of course, was a response to SEC’s request from 2005.

Comments on the revised Exposure Draft are due September 13th, but it’s hard to imagine any new issues will surface, given all the discussion that has taken place over the years.  Nevertheless, as of this writing, there are about 100 comment letters listed on FASB’s website.

Given the speed, or lack thereof, of the train so far, it’s foolhardy to try to estimate when a standard will arrive, but if a good head of steam gets going, it could be in first half of 2014. Then, while it will be another two or three years before financial statements reflect the new accounting, the required retrospective application to comparative years means that companies will need to establish new processes immediately upon adoption of a new standard.  So, better not take another nap.

 All leases still likely to go on balance sheet

The proposal still has all real estate leases going on balance sheet.  There will be a “right-of-use asset” on the “left side” of the balance sheet and an off-setting lease liability on the “right side”.  While at first blush, it appears that this is a “wash”, if you do the math you’ll see that company balance sheets will appear weaker as ratios such as liabilities-to-assets deteriorate.  For this reason, most companies would have preferred leases not be on balance sheet.  There has, however, been little opposition to the fundamental concept of leases-on-balance-sheets because the logic is too compelling.  For many companies, their single largest class of obligation is leases; without these leases on balance sheet, balance sheets are very misleading.

Difference from current accounting:  Under present accounting, only so-called “capital leases” go on balance sheet; all other leases, called “operating leases”, do not. Most companies have few capital leases.  Only leases that cross the line of one of the following tests are classified as capital leases: (1) the lease conveys ownership to lessee at end of lease or lessee has option to buy property at bargain price at end of lease, (2) term of lease is 75% or more of the life of the asset, or (3) present value of rents is 90% or more of the asset value.  Typically, only very long real estate leases cross these thresholds, and the existence of “bright line” rules have allowed companies to financially engineer borderline cases so those leases stay on the operating-lease side of the line.

Short-term leases:  While a company will be able to elect to not put short-term leases on balance sheet, a short-term lease is defined as one where the term, including options to renew, is 12 months or less.  The option-to-renew qualification means that not many leases would fit this category.

Most real estate leases will be expensed using a straight-line method

The big change FASB has made to its initial proposal for lease accounting is to leave P&L expense accounting for most real estate leases unchanged.  Most real estate leases will be classified as “Type B” leases. (See below for Type A vs Type B classification.)  Expensing for Type B leases will be straight-lined similar to today’s accounting rules for operating leases where, essentially, the rent to be paid over the term is divided by the number of months in the term with the result being the amount of rent to be expensed each month.  This method results in a rent expense that is constant throughout the term of the lease, even if the cash payments themselves are not constant.

Corporate real estate folks can breathe a sigh of relief.  The previous proposal eliminated straight-line rent expense, substituting two types of expenses: (1) a depreciation expense associated with the “right of use” asset and (2) an interest expense associated with the lease liability.   This interest-plus-depreciation expense would have resulted in expenses being higher in the early years of a lease than they would be under straight-line expensing; albeit, they would be lower in the later years.  (This interest-plus-depreciation expense method is, by the way, how capital leases are expensed today.)  This change would have played havoc with corporate real estate budgets, and required corporate real estate folks to have a sophisticated understanding of the intricacies of accounting to explain their budgets to stakeholders.

FASB felt, though, a lot of angst in allowing Type B leases to use straight-line rent expensing.  It’s not a technically pure accounting solution.  FASB has had to introduce new accounting mechanics so the straight-line rent expense can dovetail with the periodic reduction of asset and liability values as the lease term grows shorter.   Working through the issues related to this straight-line expense accounting was one of the major reasons that it has taken so long to finalize a new standard.

Type A vs Type B leases

FASB really wanted to have just one type of lease and one type of lease accounting.  Public comment, though, convinced it to establish two types of leases.  In general, Type A leases would be for equipment and Type B leases would be for real estate. There can be exceptions to each, but that’s the general construct.  Both types would go on balance sheet, but they differ in their P&L accounting.  Type B leases, as discussed above, will have a straight-line expense pattern.  Type A leases will use the front-loaded, interest-plus-depreciation expense method.  The logic is that equipment leases tend to be financing vehicles, in substance, and the interest-plus-depreciation expense method is what would naturally be used if the lease had been legally written as a loan instead of as a lease.

While FASB, who is trying to make a clean break from current accounting, takes great pains to not label Type A leases as “capital leases” (after all, that terminology will go away once new accounting is in place), conceptually that’s pretty much what they are.  There are two key similarities.  First, Type A leases will use the interest-plus-depreciation expense method just as capital leases do today.  And second, the tests that classify a real estate lease as one of those exceptions that need to be treated as a Type A lease are very similar to those that define a lease as a capital lease today.  The main difference is there are no bright lines, in keeping with FASB’s desire to move from rules-based standards (which encourage “style over substance”, sometimes unseemly, financial engineering) to principle-based standards.  In the case of Type A leases, the tests are whether (1) the lessee has a significant economic incentive to exercise an option to purchase the underlying asset, (2) the lease term is for the major part of the remaining economic life of the underlying asset, or (3) the present value of the lease payments accounts for substantially all of the fair value of the underlying asset at the commencement date.  Pretty much the same three tests as for a capital lease; just no bright lines.

In theory, the lack of bright lines will eliminate “style over substance” financial engineering.  Classification of Type A or Type B will be based on the substance of the transaction, not whether certain numerical thresholds have been crossed.  In the absence of bright lines, though, classifying leases will require judgment.  Some people think that, in practice, the industry will use the numeric thresholds in the current capital lease tests, ie 90% and 75%, as benchmarks to inform judgment, even though the numerical values will no longer serve as bright lines.

Administrative Burden

As for the administrative burden of the proposed accounting, it is real, and the revision to the Exposure Draft doesn’t provide any relief.  First, now that leases will appear prominently on the balance sheet, lease data and its reporting will have to meet a much higher standard of timeliness and accuracy than it does in most companies today.  Second, the Type A vs Type B tests will have to be conducted and without bright lines, these tests may be much more difficult to perform than are today’s capital lease tests.  Third, there will be new tests to make sure the right-of-use assets have not been impaired.  Fourth, lease accounting departments will have to track the asset and liability values for each and every lease.  And finally, the new standard calls for much more detailed disclosure of lease information in the notes to the financial statements than has ever existed previously. There likely will be a need for a statistical profile of a company’s lease portfolio so data will have to be recorded so that it can be adequately parsed.

So … the train’s still coming … bringing lots of change, lots of burden.  No time for napping.

Postscript:  Readers who have followed this blog may have noticed that I, myself, took a nap over the last couple years.  There wasn’t much need to post updates on the new lease accounting while the train’s wheels were just spinning.  Now that a new standard may be imminent, I’m back. If you’d like to see future blog posts, make sure to subscribe to receive notices when a new post appears.  You can do so on the sidebar.

As for new readers, check out my older posts on the lease accounting.  With the exception of references on how expense accounting for real estate leases would change to an interest-and-depreciation method (which now is not going to happen), all the other comment and analysis, particularly that related to the implications of the new accounting to corporate real estate executives, is still correct and relevant.  You can find those posts assembled here.

FASB will re-expose lease accounting draft, but looks to still issue by year end? July 22, 2011

Posted by Bob Cook in Financial Planning & Analysis, Lease Accounting.
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Note:  This post is slightly revised from that which I posted earlier today and which I’ve retracted.  This new post results from further investigations regarding the intent of the boards.  I now do not think it is clear that FASB is trying to finalize the new lease accounting standard by the end of 2011, even though it’s website still shows Q4/2011 as the target for the final issuance.

Yesterday, FASB and IASB announced that they will re-expose the lease accounting proposal.  What this means is that they will issue another Exposure Draft, an updated version of the one issued in August 2010.  This new draft will include modifications made to their proposal during FASB’s re-deliberations over the last seven months.  The intent of re-exposure is to give the public another opportunity to comment.

The Boards seem, though, to want to not let this re-exposure elongate the process of issuing the standard.  They state in their press release (see below): “The boards intend to complete their deliberations, including consideration of the comment period, during Q3 2011 with a view to publishing a revised exposure draft shortly afterwards.”

It’s still an open question, though, as to when the Boards will issue the final standard.  While FASB’s website , still shows the final standard being issued in Q4 of 2011, that website was updated on July 19, a couple days prior to FASB’s last meeting.

I thought (see previous post) FASB might find a way to issue a lease accounting standard quicker by side-stepping the issue of lessor accounting, which is one of the more complex areas yet to be fully re-deliberated, but that’s not going to happen.

So when will standard be issued?   It depends when in Q3 the new ED is released, how long will be the comment period, and whether new substantive issues are raised in the comment period.

Click here for the IASB/FASB press release, which is reproduced below.

IASB and FASB press release:

IASB and FASB announce intention to re-expose leasing proposals

21 July 2011

The International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) and the US-based Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) announced today their intention to re-expose their revised proposals for a common leasing standard. Re-exposing the revised proposals will provide interested parties with an opportunity to comment on revisions the boards have undertaken since the publication of an exposure draft on leasing in August 2010.

Even through the boards have not completed all of their deliberations, the decisions taken to date were sufficiently different from those published in the exposure draft to warrant reexposure of the revised proposals. The boards intend to complete their deliberations, including consideration of the comment period, during Q3 2011 with a view to publishing a revised exposure draft shortly afterwards.

Commenting on the decision, Hans Hoogervorst, Chairman of the IASB said:

Although we have yet to conclude our deliberations on this project, the direction of travel indicates that there are aspects of our revised proposals that would benefit from additional input from interested parties.

Leslie F Seidman, Chairman of the FASB, said:

During our discussions of the extensive comments we received on the exposure draft, the boards have reaffirmed the major change to lease accounting, which is to report lease obligations and the related right-to-use on the balance sheet.

However, the boards decided to make many other changes to address the comments made by stakeholders. The boards decided that, while we still have other matters to discuss, stakeholders would appreciate the opportunity to comment on the revised package of conclusions.

Further details will be available shortly from the leases project sections of the IASB and
FASB websites.

Will lease accounting be re-exposed? Should the tail wag the dog? July 18, 2011

Posted by Bob Cook in Financial Planning & Analysis, Lease Accounting.
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UPDATE:  ON JULY 21, FASB AND IASB DECIDED TO RE-EXPOSE THE LEASE ACCOUNTING DRAFT.  SEE MY NEXT POST FOR DETAILS AND ANALYSIS.

The second quarter of 2011 has come and gone … and FASB and IASB are still re-deliberating their proposal for a new standard for accounting for leases.  They had targeted the end of June for issuing the new standard but announced in May that they would take more time to make sure they got it right.  They say they now plan to issue by the end of this calendar year.

Some people are questioning whether the Boards can issue by year end.   People wonder if there will be a need to re-expose the standard, something  the Boards are doing for the new Revenue Recognition standard which has been on a similar parallel course.   If the re-deliberations for the lease accounting standard take the standard too far afield from that proposed in the Exposure Draft of August 2010 (the “ED”), the Boards will probably feel compelled to re-expose by releasing a new draft and giving the public time to comment on this new draft before finalizing.   In that case, the standard probably won’t be issued until sometime in 2012.  If, however, the re-deliberations don’t result in a standard too different from the ED, then no re-exposure would be necessary, and issuance by the end of 2011 should be possible.

So where are deliberations and how far from the original ED have tentative decisions moved the proposal as it now sits?  Will re-exposure be necessary?   Can this get done by the end of this year?

How has accounting proposal changed?

Earlier this month, FASB released a presentation that gives an update of how the ED proposal has changed through deliberations.  The take-away:  not very much.   They have made no change to the basic concept of putting leases on the balance sheet as right-of-use assets and lease liabilities.  More importantly, the Boards have made no or little change to the five elements of the proposal that were arguably the most controversial for lessees.  Specifically:

Definition of lease.  Many contracts that are not conventionally thought to be leases, may be brought under the umbrella of lease accounting.  The result:  some of the future payment obligations for these contracts will have to go on-balance sheet.  While the Boards have provided some clarification to the definition, they are largely sticking with the standard outlined in the ED.  A lease exists if the client controls the use of a specified asset,  with “control” being interpreted very broadly to include situations where a client receives all but an insignificant part of the benefit of an asset.

Pattern of expense recognition.  The new accounting results in the P&L expenses related to a lease being higher in the early years than in the later years.  For long leases, this pattern is very pronounced, and many comment letters received by the Boards criticized the pattern as not portraying the economics of the lease well.  The Boards investigated the possibility of defining two types of leases … finance leases and other-than-finance leases  … with the latter being accounted for using the “straight-line expensing” presently used for operating leases.  When the boards began this investigations, many observers jumped to the conclusion that the Boards had “reversed course”.  In fact, after considering the possibility of two types of leases, the Boards decided it wasn’t a workable solution … leading observers to claim, again, that the board had “reversed course”.  As of now, the Boards are contemplating no change to the pattern of expense recognition outlined in the ED.  Note: 180 degrees + 180 degrees = 360 degrees.

Capitalization of optional renewal periods.   The ED called for lease liabilities during optional renewal periods to be capitalized if it was more likely than not that the lease would be renewed.  This evoked an outcry from the public.  People questioned both the accounting validity of capitalizing renewal periods that were not yet contractually obligated and the cost/benefit of collecting this data given the complex processes that would have to be run to determine whether an optional renewal periods needed to be capitalized.  The Boards responded by abandoning the “more likely than not” test and replacing it with an “economic incentive” test.  Now, an optional renewal period will only be capitalized if there is a significant economic incentive to renew.  Initially, many interpreted this as applying only to situations where the economic incentive was embedded within the lease, for example, in the form of a renewal rate at a significant discount to market.  The Boards have clarified, though, that the test needs to go beyond contractual language and needs to look at the facts related to the specific asset and the lessee’s situation.  Presumably, for example, one would look at how much had been invested in the asset and how important the asset was to the lessee given its current business.  It looks to me like this test is not significantly different from “more likely than not”, and modifying the test is probably not going to force a re-exposure.

Re-assessments.   The ED required that a company reassess all the assumptions for its leases, e.g. those affecting whether an optional renewal period needs to be capitalized, each time it issues financial reports.  Many were worried that the need to revisit each and every assumption for each and every lease, each and every quarter, would be overly burdensome.  The Boards have now stated that these re-assessments would only be necessary if there was a significant change to a company’s business.   While many saw this as a major change,  I always felt that this is how companies would have implemented the standard anyway, and so I see this as more of a clarification of the ED’s intent.

Short-term leases.   The Boards received many comment letters opining that short-term leases should be excluded from the standard.   The Board has responded by saying that a company could opt out of capitalizing short term leases.  The catch, though, is that short-term leases will be deemed to be only those leases that have a maximum possible lease length of 12 months, taking into account options to renew.  This really limits the number of leases that would not have to be capitalized and is therefore just a minor change to the ED.  I doubt it would require re-exposure.

What clarifications have been made?

The boards have made a number of other statements that should be considered clarifications.  These regard elements of the standard addressing situations like sale/leasebacks, contracts with both service and lease components, purchase options, residual-value guarantees, variable lease payments, and foreign-exchange changes.  None of these clarifications seem important enough to re-expose the ED.

What is left to deliberate?

So, what is left to deliberate and might these remaining deliberations result in changes requiring re-exposure?   Possibly.

FASB outlines five areas still being re-deliberated:  Lessor Accounting, Presentation, Disclosures, Transition, Effective Date.  Only the first of these seems to have the potential to require re-exposure.  As for the others:

“Presentation” … the issue of how right-of-use assets, lease liabilities, and their related expenses and cash flow effects are presented on financial statements … is largely a technical matter that the Boards will determine, taking into account input it has already received from accounting firms.

“Disclosures” … which will define what details on a lease portfolio needs to be provided in a company’s footnotes … could be somewhat controversial because it will guide how much work companies have to do to assemble that information.  It is likely, though, that this section of the standard will not be too specific in detailing what information must be presented, leaving that decision to a company and its auditors.

“Transition” … which will outline how companies will begin to use the new standard and abandon the old standard … and the “Effective Date” … which sets the timetable for the transition … will be of interest to everyone, but does not seem to be something that would warrant re-exposure.

Lessor Accounting

The only remaining re-deliberation with the potential to force a re-exposure of the lease accounting standard might be lessor accounting, which has been a problem in terms of getting the standard out ever since the beginning of deliberations.  A couple years ago, the Boards were going to not address lessor accounting in the context of the new standard, which they intended to be just about lessee accounting.   A few months prior to issuing the ED, though, they decided that lessor accounting did need to be included.

Lessor accounting has turned out to be more difficult to develop than anticipated.  It was the primary reason the Boards missed their target of issuing the Exposure Draft by June of 2010 (and not issuing it until August 2010).  It could become the reason the Boards miss their target of issuing a standard by the end of this year.

The Boards have proposed two approaches to be applied in lessor accounting:  ”de-recognition” and “performance obligation”.  These represent major changes to lessor accounting and probably have a lot of issues yet to be ironed out.  If new elements are added to lessor accounting as a result of ironing out these issues, it may become necessary to re-expose the whole lease accounting standard.  The irony, though, is that lessor accounting is not that important to anyone.  Landlords, to the extent they are concerned about GAAP, are more concerned about accounting for cash flow, which would not be significantly affected by the new standard; they are not that concerned about accounting  for balance sheets or income statements.

That is why the Boards haven’t spent a lot of time discovering and resolving issues related to their proposal.  They seem to leave re-deliberations on lessor accounting to the tail-end of meetings; in fact, they’ve left it to the tail-end of the entire re-deliberation process.   This tail could, though, delay the whole issuance process if the Boards aren’t careful.

Will the Boards issue standard without lessor accounting?

The Boards have identified lease accounting as a high-priority project because today’s lessee accounting is severely broken.  It seems a shame if the Boards need to delay issuance because of lessor accounting which not many people care about, anyway.

I wonder if the Boards will find a way to issue the new standard this year by not including lessor accounting, except perhaps as it relates to a lessee’s subleasing.  The re-deliberations regarding lessee accounting are largely complete.   In fact, the Boards could possibly issue as early as the third quarter if they ignore lessor accounting.   They could then issue the lessor accounting later.

The Boards need to find a way to issue the standard without re-deliberations on lessor accounting getting in the way.  They can’t let lessor accounting delay lessee accounting.  They can’t let the “tail wag the dog”.

“We’ve come up with a design that puts 12,000 people in one building” June 9, 2011

Posted by Bob Cook in Company Case Studies, Corporate HQ, Green Initiatives, Profession of Corporate Real Estate, Silicon Valley.
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It’s not often that a CEO of a major company makes a presentation to City Council on company plans for a new headquarters building.  But Apple is no ordinary company, and Steve Jobs certainly is no ordinary CEO.  He’s not afraid of being accused of having an “ediface complex” — a concern that afflicts most other CEO’s and which is responsible for the declining quality of architecture as it relates to corporate headquarters buildings, IMHO.  No, no one is going to challenge Mr Black Turtleneck, Mr Cool, himself, on this one.

It’ll be interesting to see if Jobs’ new Apple HQ announcement spurs imatators … just as has been the case with the iPod, iPhone, and iPad.  Will it become ok, again, to build iconic HQ’s? 

See Jobs’ presentation to Cupertino’s City Council here:  http://www.youtube.com/user/cupertinocitychannel#p/u/0/gtuz5OmOh_M

Financial Strategy: The Dialogue (Finally) Begins … May 24, 2011

Posted by Bob Cook in Financial Planning & Analysis.
2 comments

Mark the date:  May 3rd, 2011.  That’s when, at the Corenet Global Summit in Chicago, the long overdue dialogue began.   The Breakout Session title was: “Money Talks: How Corporate Language Drives Corporate Real Estate”.   It was a freewheeling discussion … some may say “too freewheeling” … about how companies do and should … two distinctly separate ideas … go about doing financial analysis for real estate decisions.

Some panelists spoke of a need for a type of “doctrine” that would set how companies should do analysis.  Others spoke about how analysis needs to be situation-dependent, even participant-dependent … given the realities of how companies work.   A panoply of words were spoken:  net present value, discount rate, weighted average, incremental, cost of capital, cost of debt, cost of borrowing  … to name a few.  There were differing opinions.   The discussion fell short of being a full-on debate … twasn’t nothing like the Lincoln-Douglas debates which occured in the same State of Illinois 150-some years earlier.  There was, though, an accusation of contrarianism on the part of some panelists …  which, I think, was a tribute to the organizers. 

It’s a good start but a lot of discussion … maybe even sometimes heated … needs to happen before interested corporate real estate professionals can begin to understand the complexities of financial analysis and how textbooks (and MCR classes) cannot provide an all-occasion cookbook recipe of how to do financial analysis but instead can only provide the foundational tools needed to decide which tool(s) are appropriate in any given situation.   We need a robust, broader debate to ensue in the profession.  The “Money Talks” session was a great beginning.

Kudos to Jane Mather and Richard Podos for organizing this session.  For way too long, Corenet Summits have neglected serious discussion about financial decision-making.  While financial analysis is deeply embedded in the Master of Real Estate (MCR) curriculum, it’s been notably absent from the Summits.  The Summit agenda has been dominated by other topics such as alternative workplace strategy, alignment with business operations, economic development and sustainability.   

Witness the guide to this past Summit which offered a “Topic Key” that organized the breakout sessions into topic categories:  Social Dynamics, Optimizing Resources, Workplace Strategies, Leading Issues, Economic Development, Sustainability, Technology, Industry Sectors, Advancing Skills, and Service Delivery.   Note: no mention of finance. 

The “Money Talks” session was categorized under “Optimizing Resources”, a topic that included sessions devoted to other-than-finance subjects.  Shouldn’t finance be important enough to merit its own topic category?  Aren’t there enough finance related subjects to populate such a category with enticing sessions?  Some of the many possibilities:  transaction structuring, financial analysis tools, finance methodologies and case studies, funding of real estate resources, new accounting pronouncements.

Related to the last of these, the new lease accounting standard forthcoming from FASB and IASB will force Corenet membership to strengthen their financial acumen.  Corenet, as the leading association serving the profession of corporate real estate, needs to help them do so.   When millions of dollars … and in some cases, billions of dollars … of liabilities go onto balance sheets, real estate execs are going to be called upon, by their Controllers, Treasurers, CFO’s and even CEO’s,  to explain their real estate financial strategy.  Own-vs-lease, funding of tenant improvements, term-structure of the lease porfolio and lease duration are just some of the issues likely to be raised.  Many real estate execs will not be ready to have those discussions.  To participate one must be able to intelligently and knowledgeably converse about finance matters.  Real estate execs will need to understand, in depth, the meaning of the words that were spoken at the “Money Talks” session and the concepts surrounding those words.  They’ll need to articulate their financial strategy and, of course, as a precursor to articulating it, develop it.   

In fact, if corporate real estate execs don’t step up to the financial-acumen challenge posed by the new lease accounting, they could find their recent promotion to the outskirts of the “executive suite” … and in some cases, into the suite, itself … to be in jeopardy.  Rightly or wrongly, the new lease accounting is going to force corporate real estate execs to become expert in financial strategy, lest their position in their companies be usurped by others who are.

I’m hoping future Corenet Summits elevate “finance” to being a topic area.  The discussions begun at “Money Talks” need an outlet, need to be heard, need to blossom.  Let the talks … even some debates … begin.

Workshops on New Lease Accounting May 23, 2011

Posted by Bob Cook in Financial Planning & Analysis, Lease Accounting.
1 comment so far

Along with Grubb & Ellis colleagues, I will be holding workshops on the new lease accounting in Boston (June 7), Los Angeles (June 14) and Newport Beach (June 15).  These workshops are not just on what is the new lease accounting (something that accounting firms are better at interpreting), but rather they are on what are the implications of the accounting for corporate real estate departments.  

The agenda:

  • Overview of proposed standard for lease accounting
  • Update on FASB re-deliberations and the schedule for adoption of the new accounting standard
  • Original Grubb & Ellis research on the balance sheet impact for local companies
  • Implications for transaction structuring and real estate strategy
  • Implications for real estate processes and IT systems
  • Roadmap to compliance

The workshop is for corporate real estate executives.  If you would like to attend, contact me at robert.cook@grubb-ellis.com.

For more information, click below:

Grubb & Ellis Lease Accounting Workshop – Boston Area

Invitation to Grubb & Ellis Lease Accounting Workshop – LA and Newport Beach

Answer: Best place to get to work by public transit May 22, 2011

Posted by Bob Cook in Financial Planning & Analysis.
1 comment so far

For those of you old enough to remember, Johnny Carson got a lot of late-night laughs at the expense of L.A. traffic, smog and culture.  Ed McMahon would give Johnny’s Carnac an answer and Carnac would intuit the question.  It was sort of a comic Jeopardy

.

Ed:    Clean air, a virgin and a gas station open on Sunday

Carnac:   Name three things you won’t find in Los Angeles.

When Carson moved, in 1972, from NY to L.A the two cities were world’s apart.    New York was a traditional city with a strong downtown and people living in the boroughs and suburbs, like New Rochelle where Dick Van Dyke lived . Most folks either walked to work or road trains, subways, or buses. 

L.A., though, was different.  No one walked … anywhere.  Few people took public transportation.   Downtown was somewhere over there, but you couldn’t see it through the smog and, while Gertrude Stein originally said it about another California city, her description applied: “There isn’t any ‘there’ there”.   Urban theorists like Lewis Mumford derided L.A. as “100 suburbs in search of a city”, and if you wanted to go out on Sunday, it was a real problem that the gas stations were closed because you probably couldn’t get there (assuming, for the sake of exposition, there was a “there” there) via public transit.

Johnny Carson’s jokes about smog and traffic formed the American opinion about what L.A. and, by extention, the rest of California were like, and how they were so different from the rest of country.  California was a place of freedom but a place where people spent an inordinate amount of time in their cars, squinting through the smog, not actually being able to see the “Hollywood” sign.  It was not an inaccurate depiction … and it applied to many of the newer cities in the American West, not just to those in California. The resulting belief, though, of where transit was strong and where it was weak would within a generation be reversed.

Carnac must be scratching his head

Answer:   Best place to get to work by public transit

Question:   What is California?

That, Mr. Carnac, is not a joke.

According to a recently-released Brookings study, eight of the top ten U.S. metropolitan areas, ranked according to the share of working-age residents with access to transit, are in the West; four are in California.  The list:

  1. Honolulu HI  (97%)
  2. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, CA (96%)
  3. San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA (96%)
  4. El Paso, TX (94%)
  5. San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA (92%)
  6. Modesto, CA (90%)
  7. New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-PA (90%)
  8. Salt Lake City, UT (89%)
  9. Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL (89%)
  10. Las Vegas-Paradise, NV (86%)

As Gomer Pyle, another icon of mid-20th Century television would say, “Surprise, Surprise”. 

So, what’s happened over the last fifty years?  How could this be?  It turns out that low-density suburban sprawl … that nemesis of public transit … has crawled across landscapes in the East more than landscapes in the West.  Metros in California and other western states have avoided sprawl … partly through the discipline imposed by the physical geography and partly through political will.  It was the natural geographic barriers in the form of mountains, deserts, and an ocean, combined with strong land use controls, primarily resulting from a desire to preserve those natural resources, that resulted in metros of the West ultimately being built to higher densities than those of the East. 

Consider this comparison:  While the city of Chicago, proper, is probably more dense than the city of Los Angeles, proper, when you include the Chicago suburbs which have expanded unimpeded like a prairie wildfire, the Chicago metro is much less dense than the Los Angeles metro, where the surrounding hills and mountains block sprawl… because, besides, who wants to live where real wildfires happen?

And sure, while the West doesn’t have anything like the high-volume, high-speed rail systems of New York, Chicago and Boston, those systems … born more than a century ago … no longer serve a large proportion of those metros.  Only so many people can live in the boroughs, the precincts, and the close-in suburbs.  Now most live far from the reaches of those century-old transit systems … and they typically live in low-density communities that put their homes an un-walkable distance from the closest bus stop. And even for those who are close to the old hub-and-spoke systems, the jobs are no longer mostly at the hub, anyway.  Jobs are in the ‘burbs not served by those systems.

In California and the West, on the other hand, jobs and homes are frequently within walking distance of a bus stop.  And while … sure … not many people today ride public transit to work, they could if they wanted.  In the future … as gas prices rise, as legislation curtails the use of energy-wasteful, environmentally-unfriendly personal transit, and as growing populations and ever-increasing densities lead to traffic congestion … people probably will want to ride buses (or whatever it is we call multi-passenger conveyances in the future); in California and the West.  High-population densities will allow that to happen.

Implications for the geography of jobs

It used to be that discussions about “quality of life” focused around weather and natural amenities.  These were often cited as the main reasons for the western (and, to a lesser extent, southern) migration of the U.S. populace.  Companies expanded in the West because it was easier to recruit young employees there.  Some of us, including myself, used to think, “yes, it’s nice living in the West, but the lack of public transit will be its downfall … as oil prices rise and as cities grow so large that highway gridlock sets in”.   We thought the westward flow of jobs would cease.  We were wrong.   It’s the other way around.   While the older parts of Eastern cities … those with high population densities and good legacy transit systems are positioned to prosper with a greater desire for public transit, the metros, overall, are not.   Expect companies to continue to expand disproportionately westward.

Commuting to your job is and will continue to be a lot easier in the West.   Who would have thought it?  Surprise, surprise.

It’s a LinkedIn World after all …. May 19, 2011

Posted by Bob Cook in Financial Planning & Analysis, Profession of Corporate Real Estate.
7 comments

The dazzling success of LinkedIn’s IPO today took many by surprise.  Some people might be scratching their heads, saying “Linked Who?”  “Linked What?”  But LinkedIn is no stranger to those of us who have used LinkedIn to connect, learn and interact over the last few years.  Forget Facebook … too many under 25’s, over 65’s, and early retirees with too much time on their hands.  (Do I really want an update on what a “friend” ate for breakfast?)  For business professionals, the place to be is LinkedIn.

I remember my first invitation to “Link-In”.  (Is that the correct verb?  Is it in the dictionary, yet, like “to friend”?)  I must have received that first invite in the early-oughts.  I undoubtedly said to myself “Linked Who?”  “Linked What?”  I left the invite in my in-box for at least a year before I LinkedIn.  Since then, I’ve gotten to know scores of people through the platform.   And I’m flabbergasted by the fact that I’m only three degrees away from over 5,000,000 people (and, can you believe it, only three degrees away … not six degrees away … from Kevin Bacon! – is that really him on LinkedIn?)

For myself and many others, LinkedIn has eclipsed organizations like Corenet Global and IFMA (International Facility Management Association) as the primary vehicle through which people stay in touch.  Those professional organizations have other valid roles … like providing opportunities for face-to-face interaction (because we all need to come out of the cave occasionally) and providing structured education (which Corenet has done phenomenally with its MCR program) … but keeping people in touch in a fast-paced, flat world is probably no longer a valid mission for professional organizations.   These organizations need to mash-up with LinkedIn, let it serve as the day-to-day forum, and not try to compete by firing up their own social networking sites.

In fact, the mash-up is already happening.  There are, by my count, over 40 LinkedIn Groups with the word “Corenet” in their names and over 100 with the acronym “IFMA” in their names (although, to be honest, I didn’t weed out those that might be related to the International Foodservice Manufacturers Association or the Institutional Fecal Matter Alliance).

Yep, LinkedIn is the place to meet.  It’s no longer over golf (does anyone still have time for the links?) … or at a fancy restaurant  (do people still wear cuff links?) … or even at Joe’s (anyone still eat sausage links?).   Nope.  The place to be = LinkedIn.

And, today, on its first day of trading, it’s up 100%.

Full disclosure:  I was not smart enough to buy LNKD this morning.

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